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Polymarket Calculator

Calculate Polymarket position P&L, ROI, break-even, and payout scenarios

Position Details

$175.00 auto-calculated
35.0c(35.0%)
1c50c99c
52.0c(52.0%)
1c50c99c
Unrealized P&L
+$85.00
+48.6%
Current Value
$260.00
Invested: $175.00
Max Payout (WIN)
$500.00
Profit: +$325.00
Max Loss (LOSE)
-$175.00
All shares -> 0
ROI (if wins)
+185.7%
Break-even price
35.0c
= your avg buy price
Market implied prob
52.0%
at 52.0c
Max loss -$175.00Current P&L +$85.00Max profit +$325.00
<- loss zone | break-even | profit zone ->

Scenario Analysis

500 YES shares @ avg 35.0c

ScenarioPriceValueP&LROI
Resolves YES (100c)100c$500.00+$325.00+185.7%
Resolves NO (0c)0c$0.00$-175.00-100.0%
Current price52c$260.00+$85.00+48.6%
Break-even35c$175.00+$0.00+0.0%
50% probability50c$250.00+$75.00+42.9%
10% probability10c$50.00$-125.00-71.4%
90% probability90c$450.00+$275.00+157.1%
P&L Formula
Unrealized P&L = (Current Price - Avg Buy Price) x Shares.
Payout
Winning shares pay exactly $1 USDC per share at resolution.
Break-even
Your break-even price equals your average buy price.
EV
Expected Value = (Win Prob x Profit) - (Lose Prob x Cost).

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Free Polymarket Position Calculator โ€” P&L, ROI, and Break-Even

This free Polymarket calculator helps you estimate position profit and loss, ROI, break-even price, and payout scenarios for YES/NO prediction market trades. It is designed for fast manual planning without connecting a wallet.

Use it to analyze existing Polymarket positions, compare scenario outcomes, model partial exits, and estimate expected value before placing a new trade.

What this Polymarket tool helps with

  • Calculate unrealized P&L from average entry price and current market price
  • Estimate max profit, max loss, and break-even probability level
  • Model sell scenarios for partial exits at different prices
  • Evaluate new buy opportunities using expected value and payout ranges

FAQ

Does this connect to Polymarket or my wallet?

No. This is a local calculator only. It does not place orders, read balances, or connect to a wallet.

How is break-even calculated?

For a standard YES or NO share, your break-even price is your average buy price. Above that level you are in profit; below it you are in loss.

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